Forecasting the Impact of Dementia and Alzheimer’s in Europe Using Dynamic Microsimulation
With European populations aging, the burden of Alzheimer’s disease and related dementias (ADRD) is expected to increase, despite decreases in disease incidence in the absence of effective disease-modifying therapies. Making predictions of future trends and understanding their implications for individuals, families, health systems, and government programs is a challenging task. This project will introduce a new ADRD module to the European Future Elderly Model (EUFEM) dynamic microsimulation model, incorporating key risk factors (e.g. trends in sociodemographic factors, health risk factors, medical innovations) likely to affect the prevalence of ADRD.